内容简介
Factfulness: The stress-reducing habit of only carrying opinions for which you have strong supporting facts.
When asked simple questions about global trends―what percentage of the world’s population live in poverty; why the world’s population is increasing; how many girls finish school―we systematically get the answers wrong. So wrong that a chimpanzee choosing answers at random will consistently outguess teachers, journalists, Nobel laureates, and investment bankers.
In Factfulness, Professor of International Health and global TED phenomenon Hans Rosling, together with his two long-time collaborators, Anna and Ola, offers a radical new explanation of why this happens. They reveal the ten instincts that distort our perspective―from our tendency to divide the world into two camps (usually some version of us and them) to the way we consume media (where fear rules) to how we perceive progress (believing that most things are getting worse).
Our problem is that we don’t know what we don’t know, and even our guesses are informed by unconscious and predictable biases.
It turns out that the world, for all its imperfections, is in a much better state than we might think. That doesn’t mean there aren’t real concerns. But when we worry about everything all the time instead of embracing a worldview based on facts, we can lose our ability to focus on the things that threaten us most.
Inspiring and revelatory, filled with lively anecdotes and moving stories, Factfulness is an urgent and essential book that will change the way you see the world and empower you to respond to the crises and opportunities of the future.
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热门评论
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萧珩的评论如果没有确实可靠的数据支撑的话,你之前理解的世界,可能不是真正的世界,因为新闻的本质,决定了这个现状。
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叮当想旅行的评论比尔盖茨的上半年推荐书。前面的章节,可以作为平克的“这个世界在变好吗”的注脚,但比平克的要易读;整书可以作为Critical thinking的指引,但有时候觉得作者扩散得有点大,会讨论到不是他专业领域的事情,但并不严重,也不令人厌烦,因为作者的行文一直很平和,让人舒服。 作者认为,基于事实的世界观值得追求且最终也是会实现的: - 首先,这对生活有重要的指导意义 - 其次,基于事实的生活模式,让人更放松一些,从而也活得从容一些
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W的评论13道题测试地址 http://forms.gapminder.org/s3/test-2018
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J的评论Single-sided ideology is dangerous, outdated world view is dangerous, selected data is dangerous.
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本杰明的评论购买链接:https://item.taobao.com/item.htm?id=568709425172
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哦薇安的评论今年到目前为止最喜欢的一本书,读完仍感觉意犹未尽
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Shaun的评论在看到2个关于数学的解释的时候,觉得有点啰嗦;不过针对普通读者或观众来解释的话,倒很清晰。作者对中国的了解似乎不太多,用中国的计划生育来说明他一个观点,可是确犯了一个致命性常识错误,他以为计划生育是毛提出的。
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Baristina的评论I'm a bit late to the party, but, SUUUCH AN AMAAAAZING BOOK!! 当代生活思辨指南。你以为你很理性很批判思维其实你根本没有看到世界真实的样子。强昂昂昂烈推荐。
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DeutschBremen的评论Understanding the world is also about understanding people’s misunderstandings of the world. Only then can one change it for the better. This book makes me hopeful.
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怎么破的评论慢悠悠看了很久,一开始的测试题就没对几道。没有想到世界比我预想的要好很多。
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瑞尔的评论They even listed a website where all the mistakes they made have been pointed out and corrected. Kudos!
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文过饰非的评论在这个世界的很多领域,情况都在变好,而我们并不知道(或是意识不到)。面对复杂问题,一定要提醒自己不能简单化归因,而是要认真的分析(最新的)数据以及数据背后真正的逻辑,避免做出错误的判断。真好啊,在年末又读到一本挑战自己固化思维和系统性认知偏差的书。向读友圈安利~
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Nicole Y的评论知道Hans Rosling这位风趣的瑞典教授,是因为他在Ted Talk用视觉统计学演绎人口变化,是个可以跨界做脱口秀的学者!先生推荐他的这本书Factfulness,文如其人,轻松幽默,同时教读者理性冷冰冰的分析数据。 他用的例子都好奇特:比如他会玩吞剑的杂技(我专门上Youtube搜了,好精彩),以表明没有什么是不可能的;他还会翻出自己的陈年糗事,在急诊室工作时以为病人大出血,结果发现那血只是糖浆还是颜料,以证明恐惧的本能容易导致误判;或是提起年轻时在超市见到婴儿床,会跑上前去把仰卧睡觉的婴儿翻成俯卧(那个年代认为俯睡能防止婴儿呛噎致死)。 好文,要向他这个审慎乐观的”可能主义者“(possibilist)学习。
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吴玉昆的评论2018.7.14 介绍了十个重要的instinct,用数据呈现世界层面的科学认知角度,对应于十个思维偏差,比如第一个lap instinct是绝对化/非此即彼的二分思维方式。。 2018年读完的一本英文书, 值得再重读一下。 2019年下半年,开始重读本书,九月底读到第三章,p90。
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龟仙流派孙悟空的评论简单道理反复讲 这本书的内容完全可以几个bullet points概括啊 反正核心思想就是“这个世界确实还有蛮多糟糕的事发生 但是总体大趋势是变好的” 在对世界失望的同时别忘了应该抱有信心
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暗夜里的小屁孩的评论This book introduces ten critical thinking mindsets, worth reading, though a lot of details could be skipped. There are a few ideas that strongly resonate with me.
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paramint的评论-"It is my grandchildren who are going to visit your continent and travel on your high-speed trains and visit the exotic ice hotel I've hear you have up in Northern Sweden" -blame instinct 这一段写的refugee为什么在那么差的船上来到欧洲真的是hit the nail. 责怪蛇头很容易,看到背后的systemic 问题才是解决问题的方法
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coolfish的评论要时刻提醒自己不要堕入二元对立的简单错误中。
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恶趣味多美的评论The ideas in the book are tremendously thought-provoking while the narratives are plain,vivid and of course fact-based.
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MV466AG的评论quite impressed by the classification of poverty levels