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Judgment under Uncertainty

Judgment under Uncertainty

作者:Daniel Kahneman (Edi

分类:文学

ISBN:9780521284141

出版时间:1982-4-30

出版社:Cambridge University Press

标签: 心理学  行为经济学  判断与决策  思维  行为决策  psychology  英文原版  经济学 

内容简介

The thirty-five chapters in this book describe various judgmental heuristics and the biases they produce, not only in laboratory experiments but in important social, medical, and political situations as well. Individual chapters discuss the representativeness and availability heuristics, problems in judging covariation and control, overconfidence, multistage inference, social perception, medical diagnosis, risk perception, and methods for correcting and improving judgments under uncertainty. About half of the chapters are edited versions of classic articles; the remaining chapters are newly written for this book. Most review multiple studies or entire subareas of research and application rather than describing single experimental studies. This book will be useful to a wide range of students and researchers, as well as to decision makers seeking to gain insight into their judgments and to improve them.

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