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标签:沈大伟

  • 中国共产党

    作者:[美]沈大伟(David L.Shamb

    《中国共产党:收缩与调适》的主要特色之一在于是一项实证的而不是建立预设价值立场之上的研究,客观地分析和描述了20世纪90年代以来西方学者关于中国共产党的分析框架和预测,同时对近20年来中国共产党在组织和思想上的建设举措提出了详尽的分析,在此基础上判断中国共产党实际上一直处于一直转型即收缩与调适的过程之中,并对中国共产党的未来作出了谨慎预测。 全书共分八章, 在前三章,沈大伟教授概述了西方学界对共产党政权和苏东社会主义国家崩溃的分析和看法,并叙述了西方学界对中国共产党未来的两种预测。他本人则持一种中间立场,认为中国共产党自改革开放以来确实处于一种收缩过程之中,同时又认为中国共产党采取了许多调适性改革来逆转收缩过程,因而实际上处于一种转型过程之中。在后半部分,沈大伟教授概述和分析了国内学者对苏东国家以及其他一党制国家执政党失去政权的教训,指出中国学者对这些教训的分析深度和广度远远超过了外界的认识和揣测。他描述了中国共产党在思想和组织上采取的一系列改革和新措施并不像西方许多学者和记者所认为的那样"太小、太迟",而是相当有效地应对了党所面临的许多挑战从而维持了它的政治合法性和权力。最后,沈大伟教授概述了西方许多学者对中国共产党未来的三种主要预测:崩溃、维持现状和民主化。沈大伟教授本人并不赞同这三种观点,认为中国将来将会走向一种"折中型国家"。
  • China Goes Global

    作者:David Shambaugh

    Most global citizens are well aware of the explosive growth of the Chinese economy. Indeed, China has famously become the "workshop of the world." Yet, while China watchers have shed much light on the country's internal dynamics--China's politics, its vast social changes, and its economic development--few have focused on how this increasingly powerful nation has become more active and assertive throughout the world. In China Goes Global, eminent China scholar David Shambaugh delivers the book that many have been waiting for--a sweeping account of China's growing prominence on the international stage. Thirty years ago, China's role in global affairs beyond its immediate East Asian periphery was decidedly minor and it had little geostrategic power. Today however, China's expanding economic power has allowed it to extend its reach virtually everywhere--from mineral mines in Africa, to currency markets in the West, to oilfields in the Middle East, to agribusiness in Latin America, to the factories of East Asia. Shambaugh offers an enlightening look into the manifestations of China's global presence: its extensive commercial footprint, its growing military power, its increasing cultural influence or "soft power," its diplomatic activity, and its new prominence in global governance institutions. But Shambaugh is no alarmist. In this balanced and well-researched volume, he argues that China's global presence is more broad than deep and that China still lacks the influence befitting a major world power--what he terms a "partial power." He draws on his decades of China-watching and his deep knowledge of the subject, and exploits a wide variety of previously untapped sources, to shed valuable light on China's current and future roles in world affairs.