贝叶斯方法是基于贝叶斯定理而发展起来用于系统地阐述和解决统计问题的方渚上用贝叶斯定理的方式依赖于一个统计学家如何看待“概率”的基本概念。这些统计学家“推崇”概率为不确定性的度量，对于任何实际客体它将会被认定；因此没有任何理由贝叶斯定理不在任何场合应用。本书的主要内容包括贝叶斯立场、先验分布，后验分布及贝叶斯推断、常用分布、可靠性问题、经验贝叶方法、贝叶斯统计地应用、参考文献。

《高等院校统计学专业规划教材•贝叶斯统计》共六章，可分二部分。前三章围绕先验分布介绍贝叶斯推断方法。后三章围绕损失函数介绍贝叶斯决策方法。阅读这些内容仅需要概率统计基本知识就够了。《高等院校统计学专业规划教材•贝叶斯统计》力图用生动有趣的例子来说明贝叶斯统计的基本思想和基本方法，尽量使读者对贝叶斯统计产生兴趣，引发读者使用贝叶方法去认识和解决实际问题的愿望。进而去丰富和发展贝叶斯统计。假如学生的兴趣被钓出来，愿望被引出来，那么讲授这一门课的目的也基本达到了。

Gerd Gigerenzer's influential work examines the rationality of individuals not from the perspective of logic or probability, but from the point of view of adaptation to the real world of human behavior and interaction with the environment. Seen from this perspective, human behavior is more rational than it might otherwise appear. This work is extremely influential and has spawned an entire research program. This volume (which follows on a previous collection, Adaptive Thinking, also published by OUP) collects his most recent articles, looking at how people use "fast and frugal heuristics" to calculate probability and risk and make decisions. It includes a newly writen, substantial introduction, and the articles have been revised and updated where appropriate. This volume should appeal, like the earlier volumes, to a broad mixture of cognitive psychologists, philosophers, economists, and others who study decision making.